Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 3.861386 4.616094 5.458129 6.464151 7.630138 8.935634 10.504491
2025-07-06 2.769151 3.729584 4.913650 6.468034 8.440485 10.844425 13.978422
2025-07-13 2.255997 3.350248 4.812574 6.880475 9.694771 13.351867 18.416548
2025-07-20 1.848114 2.990573 4.628021 7.095083 10.655108 15.531950 22.625065
2025-07-27 1.586582 2.768971 4.570158 7.435400 11.779481 17.997601 27.413462
2025-08-03 1.311371 2.461852 4.319474 7.429531 12.366239 19.723214 31.278818
2025-08-10 1.048717 2.116726 3.942755 7.155335 12.483825 20.733374 34.143159
2025-08-17 0.847922 1.835404 3.618614 6.905995 12.586254 21.694930 36.972404
2025-08-24 0.722151 1.666330 3.457825 6.901445 13.070860 23.273117 40.856914
2025-08-31 0.621959 1.526199 3.324815 6.921120 13.585374 24.924325 44.962164
2025-09-07 0.528509 1.379760 3.154593 6.844120 13.910554 26.270371 48.644637
2025-09-14 0.429767 1.199034 2.885162 6.536480 13.773968 26.798680 50.965621
2025-09-21 0.368157 1.093337 2.758578 6.502954 14.160985 28.302300 55.129733
2025-09-28 0.315152 0.996512 2.635285 6.459224 14.522574 29.788593 59.374832
2025-10-05 0.297787 0.989364 2.714051 6.855672 15.796419 33.049297 67.033161
2025-10-12 0.270837 0.949371 2.708674 7.064678 16.704823 35.684097 73.709252
2025-10-19 0.253485 0.933009 2.757951 7.402126 17.909933 38.967970 81.794663
2025-10-26 0.221701 0.864808 2.665076 7.395791 18.377914 40.842249 87.322413
2025-11-02 0.183557 0.765297 2.472273 7.122548 18.231699 41.477928 90.497746
2025-11-09 0.152463 0.679545 2.300102 6.874173 18.110583 42.145699 93.764050
2025-11-16 0.133883 0.632389 2.227957 6.869628 18.544620 43.983923 99.460464
2025-11-23 0.118391 0.591984 2.168228 6.889218 19.035335 45.971380 105.570788
2025-11-30 0.102435 0.544399 2.077609 6.812531 19.285618 47.457379 110.733974